You Must Be Able to Survive 90 Days

Most liberty-minded folks believe that the “bad times” are inevitable.  Most of us want to be prepared for whatever those “bad times” really mean.  A large number of us never prepare.

There are lots of reasons why folks don’t prepare.

  • Some don’t prepare because they aren’t sure what to prepare for.
  • Some (probably most of us!) are on limited budgets.
  • Most of us suffer from “prepping” fatigue.  (It’s funny – a well known site that promotes “Prepper Shows” suggests that we should call it “survivalism” because “prepping” has too many bad connotations!)  There is just too much information out there and much of it has virtually no application to most of us.  It is very easy to be overwhelmed and do little or nothing.

Many in the liberty movement don’t make it easier for us.  There are many web sites out there telling us what the one single thing is that will make us “winners” in the fight to restore liberty.

Some of what is out there is legit and good info.  Sadly much of what is out there is written by people who merely want to make money off the backs of us in the liberty movement.  On the one hand, that is kind of neat.  We’ve become a market that folks recognize and want to target us for sales.  On the other hand, there is a lot of useless junk out there that is incredibly overpriced.

No one knows what will precipitate the upcoming troubles.  No one.  Some ascribe to a huge government crackdown on the citizenry.  Others fear an invasion by a foreign power such as China, Russia, ISIS, the UN, etc.  The theories abound.  Certainly the actions of our Government in the last 50 or so years have driven us to the breaking point.

At the end of the day though, the threat that you plan for needs to be broken down into the short term, intermediate term and long term.

For most of us, we usually start with the long term threat, namely a complete breakdown of the government as we know it with either an internal civil war or a war against foreign aggressors on our homeland.  We try to plan backwards.

And for most folks, that’s where they stop.  It just looks too big to handle.

We’re all on limited budgets, have limited time, and quite frankly limited skills.  We can’t all move off the grid to some magical “safe spot”.  We can’t all possibly learn everything that is needed.

I suggest that we need to start with the short term threat.  If you can’t survive the short term threat, it really doesn’t matter that you were prepared for the intermediate or long term threats.

You need to survive for 90 days.

You need to have food, water and the means to protect it for 90 days. 

Until you have these basic preps, you shouldn’t spend a dime on any other preps.  Having a ham radio that allows you to talk to the world doesn’t help you if you don’t have food or water.  The best generator in the world is not edible.  An arms room full of tons of guns and bullets doesn’t help you if you run out of food and water.

So what does the 90 days look like?

I predict that an unnatural disaster will cause a nationwide breakdown of society.  Lots of things could cause it, but I think the most likely cause will be the loss of food.  EBT card breakdown would be the most catastrophic, but it could be massive rioting causing stores to stop resupply.

Note, this is just one of MANY possible reasons for societal breakdown.  Your threat analysis may vary!

No food will cause massive unrest.  Violence will be terrible.  Quite frankly those who will cause the violence will probably descend to killing each other very quickly.  Roving bands of violent thugs will wander throughout cities and they will destroy what they can in an attempt to get their own food and water.

And what of Federal, State and Local law enforcement?  Sadly, most of them will be used to guard what the Federal, State and Local governments want protected.  Much of it will be critical infrastructure.  Lots of it will be guarding the “elites” in government.


The first 30 days will be violent, with much random killing.  I estimate that anywhere as many as half of the population will be killed, many of them the thugs and the remainder innocent folks who got caught up in the violence.

Our mission in the first 30 days is to survive.  It’s time to “hunker down”.  Note, I don’t recommend “bugging out”.  We can discuss bugging out on a different occasion, but I believe that in the first 30 days the random violence will get you killed if you are out and about.

I don’t think anyone should leave their safe space during these 30 days.  Blacked out windows, decoy trash in the front yard, vehicles up on blocks, etc., will help keep you from being a target and victim.  Not looking like a target will increase your chances of not being a target.  Lights visible from the road, a roaring generator, the aroma of food cooked on the grill are all things that will attract attention.

The minimums you must have are non-perishable food, water for drinking and sanitation, a mechanism for handling human waste, and of course the means to protect these things.

EVERYTHING else is bonus at this time.

Yes, it would be nice to have IR wireless cameras to watch your perimeter.  It would be nice to have shortwave radios to listen to the news.  It would be nice to have ham radios to check on friends.  It would be nice to have solar chargers, storage batteries, inverters and the like to keep your phones and laptops operable.  The list of “nice” things goes on and on.

But, if you aren’t eating or drinking, it doesn’t matter.

DAY 31 TO 60

The second 30 days will be different.  The thugs that are left will be the stronger ones.  They survived.  They will be more violent and far more desperate.  They have run out of all things that they need.  They will be a little more organized, but probably in small groups/gangs.  By this point most of them will be on foot.  With no gas stations and roads/highways cluttered with wrecks, burned out vehicles and vehicles merely out of fuel, rapid transit won’t be easy.

These smaller gangs will target what they believe to be opportunities to get food, fuel, water and arms/ammunition.  They have the challenge of food and water just like we do.  Imagine a 20 mile hike with nothing for them at the end.

With the smaller numbers of thugs, the Government will begin conducting operations to restore law and order.  I imagine it will be with overwhelming force, city by city, with a combined State National Guard, State Police and Local Police.  They won’t be able to be everywhere at once, so the restoration will not be automatic.  A good percentage of these forces will still be used to protect what the Government thinks is important (important to them, not to you).

During these second 30 days, it may be possible for you to venture outside.  I would only do it in daylight and only in groups.  At least two vehicles with four armed people in each vehicle.  If your area is part of the restoration operations, I probably would stay off the streets.  Shoot to kill really means shoot to kill.

As in the first 30 days, our Government will not have the resources to target the good guys.  They will be struggling to survive and protect what is theirs.

DAY 61 TO 90

During the third 30 days I think we will see efforts to restore services.  Electricity will start to work.  Water will start to flow.  Stores that still exist will start stocking food, fuel and other essentials.  It won’t be universal, and it won’t be easy.

I recommend taking advantage of what is available and attempt to restock my supplies.  I still wouldn’t venture out by myself.  Perhaps smaller groups but still in multiple vehicles.  If you haven’t shaved or cut your hair in a couple of months, I probably would.  You want to look like a civilian who needs resupply, not an armed thug.  Just because we survived the 90 days doesn’t mean it’s going to get better.

Our country’s population will be smaller at the end of 90 days.  Merely cleaning up the devastation and dead bodies will take many months.  Heck, some places may never come back.

Our Government will make plans to insure that something like this doesn’t happen again.  Change will happen and as always many will attempt to take advantage of the crisis to make changes that we won’t like.  Our Government will have more time on their hands to screw with us, the good guys.  But, we’ll be alive to try and influence that change.

We’ll all have some serious “lessons learned” from these 90 days.  Things we wish we had done different or better.  Our mission remains the same.  Restock and work on the next 90 days.  Smarter, wiser and alive.  Armed with what we learned and with what others learned, we’ll probably do it a little different.  Resources will be shifted to the next phase of survival.

By the way, this 90 day plan is just that, a plan.  Unrest isn’t like a football game.  You won’t know when the game starts, there will be no halftime, and there are no four quarters.  The length of each phase will likely vary.  There may be overtime.  You can watch for indicators of when it will start, but based on experience of social unrest localized unrest can grow very quickly.

Part Two of this series will discuss food.  Part Three will discuss water and sanitation.  Part Four will discuss how to use deception to hide the fact that you are alive, well and capable of surviving.  Future parts after that will discuss how to accomplish the “nice” things on a budget.

39 thoughts on “You Must Be Able to Survive 90 Days

  1. Really nice post.
    I’ll add you to my RSS list as I’m looking forward to the other parts you’ll be putting out.
    Thank you!


  2. Good article.

    For those who seem like 90 days is a stretch focus on 2 weeks at a time. Don’t buy what you don’t currently eat. You go to the store to buy some canned foods don’t buy 1 buy 2. When 1 is gone buy 2 more.

    You can grow your pantry very fast without a lot of cash just by being smart and thrifty. Look at BOGOS and use them to your advantage.

    Before you know it you will have a month of food in a week or two. Then keep it up without spending a large amount of money on stuff you will never use or eat.


    • Exactly! My pantry is loaded with the staples I eat every day. My freezer is loaded with meat(yes I have the jars and equipment to can it immediately should I lose power, 2,400 watts of installed solar will keep the freezers running though!). Pasta, wheat to grind into flour for homemade bread, rice, dried beans, home canned tomato sauce, home canned fruits… all stuff I use so it gets rotated in and out as I use it.


  3. And when the government moves in , it will be as vicious as the gangs. Surrender your weapons or die, relocate here or there, or be at the mercy of the gangs (without your guns). Remember how we forced rural Vietnamese to relocate? Your own blood clan will be the only ones you can half-way trust.
    But what do I know, I’m just a guy who has seen it in two wars and other disasters over the last 7 decades.

    Liked by 5 people

    • Star writing your memories down. Part of the reason people like us are in the .gov’s sight is, we remember how things used to be.


    • I’m with ya, Bro Nighthawk. Seen a lot ‘o water go under the bridge in my last seven decades.

      Like I tell folks: “I was born at night–BUT NOT LAST NIGHT!”

      FED GOV will be your biggest PITA midstream. IMHO, they will try the initial “come along with us, it’s for your own good BS,” and then followed by “we have standing and/or executive orders here from (fill in the blank alphabet soup FED scum) to “transport” you–you have 15 minutes to comply,” to the out and out firefight at your front door (if they can get into your perimeter, that is.)

      FED GOV likes “fireworks” like flash bangs and torching things to get you out in the open. Their gas and tear gas bombs won’t do much god if you’re prepared with a good USGI mask. Fire is another issue–keep plenty of extinguishers and water/sand buckies handy.

      You and I know that .223Rem ain’t a bad round, but the NATO 5.56mm is much hotter and can ruin an aggressor’s day a whole lot quicker.

      After all the dust settles, I can see a lot of coroner’s death certificates state: “Cause of death–acute. rapid, and repeated lead poisoning.”

      Keep your powder dry, Bro.


  4. People may have forgot: (or- when the electricity goes out – I don’t want to live anymore) Your mileage may vary.

    The first epidemic of a waterborne disease probably was caused by an infected caveman relieving himself in waters upstream of his neighbors.

    Perhaps the entire clan was decimated, or maybe the panicky survivors packed up their gourds and fled from the “evil spirits” inhabiting their camp to some other place.

    As long as people lived in small groups, isolated from each other, such incidents were sporadic. But as civilization progressed, people began clustering into cities. They shared communal water, handled unwashed food, stepped in excrement from casual discharge or spread as manure, used urine for dyes, bleaches, and even as an antiseptic.

    As cities became crowded, they also became the nesting places of waterborne, insect borne, and skin -to-skin infectious diseases that spurted out unchecked and seemingly at will. Typhus was most common, reported Thomas Sydenham, England’s first great physician, who lived in the 17th century and studied early history. Next came typhoid and relapsing fever, plague and other pestilential fever, smallpox and dysentery’s-the latter a generic class of disease that includes what’s known as dysentery, as well as cholera.

    From Richard Duncan, PHD:

    The Olduvai theory has been called unthinkable, preposterous, absurd, dangerous, self-fulfilling, and self-defeating. I offer it, however, as an inductive theory based on world energy and population data and on what I’ve seen during the past 30 years in some 50 nations on all continents except Antarctica. It is also based on my experience in electrical engineering and energy management systems, my hobbies of anthropology and archaeology, and a lifetime of reading in various fields.

    The theory is defined by the ratio of world energy production (use) and world population. The details are worked out. The theory is easy. It states that the life expectancy of Industrial Civilization is less than or equal to 100 years: 1930-2030.


  5. A great article with lots of practical scenarios. The one assumption being the government will be on the side of the good guys. Looking at the current antagonism of those who make up the prepper mentality (2nd amendment self sufficient types), it’s hard to see how we will fit in, given the government’s current hostility towards us. Still, preparing is a must, I’m just hoping I can protect my family without having to stand up against an overwhelming force of those who were originally tasked to protect us..


  6. There are so many possibilities, this is one of them. No one really knows what may happen but food and water only make sense. Without them everything else is a yuppie pipe dream. Koyaanisqatsi has past, we are in Powaqqatsi headed for Naqoyqatsi. Enjoy the ride.


  7. Been doing this prepping thing for 20 years-inch by inch it’s a cinch- or nickels and dimes at a time makes for survival in desperate times. Normal went out then and is still MIA. EVERYTHING WE DO OR SPEND WHAT LITTLE MONEY WE HAVE GOES FOR PREPPING!
    Get bummed/depressed about it sometimes and want to quit-but as a friend/ prepper said “How would you feel if you didn’t?”
    Many of our neighbors have done nothing-normalcy bias. Some of the less trust worthy know what we have-they will be the first ones here and the first ones I kill. Get to know your enemy! Never try talking-shoot first, cut off head put on fence post-wife’s idea and she is up for it! Body goes into compost pile or to pigs-I do love bacon!
    Read 299 Days(the best so far) and Patriot & Survivor,One Minute After and all others you can find. Knowledge,skills,food, water,guns(common calibers) and ammo-lots of it. For get about reloading until after 60-90 days-yes stock up on that stuff too and learn how to do it. Get medical training,fish antibiotics-cheaper and the same from same big farma with out the bend over tax.
    Knowledge will keep you alive-remember 1 is none 2 is one have at least 3+ of everything critical.


  8. “Our” government?

    Not a chance in hell. As you note, they will do whatever will protect them… dirt people can fend for themselves or go to hell as far as they’re concerned.

    Hopefully, the message learned by the survivors that we are on our own will take root and we’ll be unwilling to be “restored” to our former status as serfs.

    .Gov is just another gang.


  9. If we are to believe over 100 Catholic prophecies from saints and mystics, etc, that God is going to let our enemies punish us severely, then when all seems lost, both the world and Church seem doomed, then, and only then, God will intervene; but not before we have paid for the sins of abortion, homosexuality, pornography, immodesty in dress, contraception, etc, and for the near total “apostasy” of the hierarchy of the Church for the worship of man. This all has been warned and of the severe chastisement coming very soon.

    In much of these prophecies is related that both Europe and America will be attacked by a massive surprise Russian/Chinese attack. Firstly, a sudden civil war and revolution, the most violent in history for three to four months, then in the chaos, Russia and China with their allies, attack both Europe and America. America gets attacked from six sides.

    However, the prophecies say that there will be no electricity, water, utilities, transportation, stores, clothes, etc, nothing but chaos and turmoil for near “two years” not 90 days; starvation will be so rampant that many will turn to cannibalism, something unthinkable in America today. Over 75% of the world dies.

    Although I could list and detail many prophecies, some much more detailed than the following, they all agree and paint the whole picture.

    – Blessed Sister Elena Aiello (1895-1961), Italian mystic and stigmatic, founder of the Calabrian Sisters, from her revelations in the late 1950’s to 1961:
    : Russia will attack and overrun all of Europe.
    : Whole countries, provinces, and cities will be destroyed by either the war, massive earthquakes, and tidal waves.
    : Russia wins everywhere for the first year or year and one-half, before God intervenes and turns the tide, then “Russia will burn”.
    : Not until the first year of the war is past will all finally realize this is a war of God vs Satan, good vs evil.’
    : All the enemies of God, His Church (including those within as well as without and up to the highest positions) and our countries will be completely annihilated in the end.

    We win in the end, but over 75% of the whole world dies and this is coming very very soon, within a year or so.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. As someone who is pretty new to the prepper movement (I know, almost too late), I find this article extremely helpful. It isn’t that I don’t believe that Sh** Will Hit the Fan, I believe it will, it has just been difficult trying to get the spouse and family to open their eyes and see the danger lurking on the horizon. What this article has done, for me personally, is help me focus the very limited funds I have to purchase what is absolutely necessary. And, I am doing it regardless of the flack I have received for wearing my tinfoil hat! If nothing happens, I am willing to look like the paranoid fool – in fact – PRAYING that I look like the paranoid fool come election time. Thank you for this article, you have helped me more than you know. God Bless and keep you and yours safe…


  11. Cost is just a excuse to do nothing.

    Our church prepared a handout which demonstrates that for just $10 per week for 1 year, a family can have 3,780 servings of emergency food.


    • Why do you want to find out who you can trust when everything is falling apart and when the wrong decision may very well be fatal…Why not be doing that now when the consequences aren’t as severe…


      • That certainly is too late to be making your first assessment. With that said, when it turns really bad you will be able to make some of your final determinations. Ice storm, rain storm, other natural disasters will help you make the initial assessment. Who came out to help at the beginning. Who stayed to help as the days and weeks went on. Who helped the helpless in your neighborhood.

        Some will be more useful than others. Others will be targets. Target aren’t all bad. They serve to draw attention from you.


    • Psst. They have food. Psst-Psst… they got food and arms. Psst. They’re preppers. Psst… gossip, gossip.

      Mommy? Daddy? I’m hungry.


  12. Those that survive 3 months will envy the dead. Globalists plan on using bio weapons during the first part of this mayhem. ( for articles and cutting edge info)


    • I’m not certain that the short term will see that threat. The short term will be typified by an incredible amount of random violence and large amounts of death. Thugs and innocents caught in the cross fire. Governments at all levels will be scrambling to protect what they see as valuable. As it evolves into the mid term and long term of this disaster, certainly there are the evil ones out there that “won’t let the crisis go to waste” as they say and that’s when we’ll see lots of evilness.

      Personally I don’t see a mass “killing” on the part of the globalists. They love power and money. You can’t kill all of your customers and expect to make money. Enslave your customers with low paying jobs perhaps, but total annihilation? I don’t see it.


  13. Never in the history of man has there been a case of a govt, once it has fallen, returned. At least not the government that a govt that reflect the essence of what was lost.


  14. This is a good article on what is needed to survive a WROL scenario… however if any such scenario arrose it is a complete pipe-dream that there would be ANY RESTORATION of law and governmental organization.

    The author is deluding himself and you.
    WROL means just that–zip!

    You should include on your enemies list renegade police and military who will use their uniforms, equipment and training to murder you and to steal from you. Just because they will wave an American flag or wear a badge will mean nothing.

    Wrap your fat skulls around this please.


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